Option Focus | NVIDIA's $15.76 Million Out-of-the-Money Put Sales Reveal Institutional Confidence in Downside Support and Premium Collection

Option Witch
16 hours ago

NVIDIA closed at $226.32, down 1.29%.

Large options trades showed a decisive bullish tilt as institutional players sold $15.76 million in out-of-the-money puts across two key maturities. The dominant single-leg trade was a $9.06 million sale of 4,585 contracts at the April 16, 2027 $225.00 put, alongside a $6.70 million sale of 100,000 contracts at the January 15, 2027 $150.00 put. Both expressed confidence in downside support while collecting rich premium.

>>>Start OPTIONS trading & earn up to SGD 200 in rewards!

Options Indicators

NVIDIA’s implied volatility is 39.93%, and with an IV percentile of 27.09%, current option volatility sits on the lower end of its historical range, indicating that options are relatively cheaply priced rather than expensive. At the same time, the IV/HV ratio of 1.88 shows implied volatility is still running notably above realized volatility, meaning the market is assigning a meaningful premium to forward uncertainty even though overall pricing remains in the low-percentile zone.

The Call/Put volume ratio is 0.91.

Large Trades

A put sale worth $9.06 million was the largest displayed single-leg trade, with 4,585 contracts of the April 16, 2027 $225.00 put sold while the stock reference price was $226.32. That strike sits slightly out of the money, making this a high-premium bullish income trade that expresses confidence NVIDIA can hold above or near that level over time. Strategically, selling a near-the-money long-dated put suggests the trader is willing to collect substantial premium in exchange for taking downside assignment risk, which is typically consistent with a constructive view on the stock rather than an outright bearish stance.

A put sale worth $6.70 million was the other featured large trade, involving 100,000 contracts of the January 15, 2027 $150.00 put sold. With NVIDIA at $226.32, this strike was deeply out of the money, pointing to a more conservative bullish posture focused on premium collection rather than an aggressive upside chase. The seller appears to be expressing confidence that NVIDIA is unlikely to fall toward $150 by expiration, using far-out-of-the-money put writing to monetize elevated downside protection demand while accepting tail-risk exposure only at a much lower price level.

Overall, the bulk-order flow points clearly to a bullish bias in NVIDIA. The standout trades were both sizable out-of-the-money put sales, which typically reflect confidence in downside support and a willingness to get paid for underwriting lower-price risk rather than positioning for a major decline. Broader large-trade activity also leans constructive, as repeated put-selling flow outweighed the protective put buying and call-selling seen elsewhere, suggesting institutional participants were more focused on harvesting premium and expressing confidence in price stability to upside than preparing for sustained weakness.

Strategy Reference

For a lower assignment probability with similar premium collection, consider selling the January 15, 2027 $180.00 put, or use a $180.00/$150.00 short put spread to cap margin while maintaining a bullish-to-neutral stance.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Most Discussed

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10